https://mcimaps.com/the-ultimate-guide-to-the-six-state-senate-base-maps/
https://mcimaps.com/miami-dades-5th-county-commission-district-special-election/
Race is an important part of our history and thus our elections despite race itself being largely a social construct it still plays a roll in our elections according to a PEW Research poll 61% of Hispanic voters vote democrat, 83% of Black voters vote Democrat, while 56% of White voters vote Republican. These statistics reflect a lot of things which and as such I will not be able to talk about everything. Regarding the State of Florida according to the US Census Bureau 51.9% of Florida is "White alone, not Hispanic or Latino", 27.4% "Hispanic or Latino", 16.9% "Black or African American alone", and 3.2% "Asian alone". Florida is a diverse state and this is reflected when you compare cities like Miami where the Hispanic population is the majority (56.8%) to more rural counties like Citrus county where the white population is 87.5%. Florida has long been considered a swing state up until 2022. That year Ron DeSantis absolutely crushed Crist in the gubernatorial election winning nearly 60% of the popular vote. In 2020 Trump won Florida by a little over 3 points and now he is expected to double his lead according to the polls. How race plays into Florida elections is interesting particularly pertaining to Hispanic voters. According to one article in The Tributary "Florida’s Hispanic voters have emerged as the state’s most unpredictable electoral force, with dramatic swings between parties reshaping the battlefield for 2024’s presidential election." The article continues... "In Miami-Dade County’s House District 111, where nine in 10 residents are Hispanic, voters have careened from supporting Hillary Clinton by 19 points in 2016 to backing Gov. Ron DeSantis by 40 points in 2022 — a 59-point swing that transformed the district from more Democratic than Illinois to more Republican than every state but one: Wyoming." The article also talks about the impracticality of lumping these voters into one category as the article notes: “If you use the term Hispanic, you’ve masked a whole lot of differences because there are 10 or 15 countries of origin,” Susan MacManus, a distinguished professor emerita of political science at the University of South Florida, said of the danger of oversimplifying Florida’s Hispanic voters. “Their politics and their backgrounds and their political priorities are very different.” Overall Florida is a diverse state and although It's no longer a swing state it is interesting to note the various changes in voting patterns pertaining to the racial makeup of the state.
https://jaxtrib.org/2024/11/03/floridas-political-fault-lines-shift-with-swing-hispanic-voters/
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/04/09/partisanship-by-race-ethnicity-and-education/
https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/FL/PST045223
2 comments:
I definitely agree with when you talked about how race is a factor in politics, but its not the only factor and there are a lot of other factors that weigh into that decision. I think its really interesting how the racial makeup and the change of that racial makeup within a state allows for the change of these voting patterns.
I like how you mentioned how Latino voters are the most unpredictable ethnicity when it comes to elections. I was really surprised when I found out that Trump won Latino men votes by almost 50%! This election is starting to confirm the narrative of the rightward shift that is sweeping every race/ethnic group.
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